In Uganda after a FLAWED elections, Citizens Demand Recall of the electoral process

The Mathematics doesn't add up. Here is why the presidential announcement should be recalled and a re-run or recount ordered.

First I need to state that I love numbers as a former Auditor of Ernst and Young and an international Banker with a global bank but also a certified fraud examiner and financial crime certified. I spent time looking at the numbers released by EC and unlike previous posts and all the hate posts, I have assumed that there was no cheating and that electoral commission was independent and results were accurate and just concentrated on the numbers so my readers can read without bias and I came to the conclusion that EC errorred not only in the percentages quoted but also in announcing M7 as the winner of the elections and why a recount or Re-run is needed.

First the law requires that a candidate should get 50% and above of the votes to be declared a winner or else there will be a re-run. Now on the numbers declared by EC.

Bw-        86,075- 0.93%

JPAM-    132,574-1.43%

Barya -    51,086- 0.55%

Biraro -    24675 -0.26%

KB.    -    3,270,290-35.37%

Mabirizi- 23,762.    -0.26%

Kyalya -  40,598.   -0.44%

YKM -      5,617,503- 60.75%

Total of valid votes - 9,246,563

invalid votes- 455,175- 4.69%

Spoilt votes - 25,538

Total votes  - 9,727,276

When you add up the %ages quoted above including invalid votes, the total is 104.69% instead of 100% as expected because when determining percentages for candidates, EC didn't include invalid votes and spoilt votes which it should as per the law since they form part of the votes cast. ( Lawyers can confirm). 

If invalid votes are added when determine percentages of candidates as per released results, president M7 would have scored 57.75% which still is ok for him to be declared president but then don't forget that Electoral commission announced M7 pre-maturely by including only 93.62% of the polling stations. Leaving 6.62% of the polling stations unaccounted for or not included.

After analyzing the EC released results you will notice that the polling stations not included came from JInja, Kampala, Wakiso etc. now it's not a coincidence that those are some of the most populated voting areas and I won't assume they are for FDC or NRM. The 6.62% of non included polling stations actually account for over 12% of the registered voters  and therefore by not including them in the counting EC knowingly or unknowingly might have prematurely announced M7 winner bse there remained a possibility of M7 getting less than 40% of the votes not counted in which case opposition would get the remaining 60% as it happened in Kampala in which case M7 would fail to get 50%. It's therefore possible that a re-run would occur. Please not all those figures were based on actuals released by electoral commission but it would be real worse if rigging is factored like some areas where M7 got more votes than actual polling station numbers or where pre-ticket ballots were discovered.

I would therefore request journalists and those concerned to look through the numbers first before we even factor in rigging which was obvious.

I hope somebody interested in facts analyses the numbers and I hope the opposition challenges the election based on facts so that the element of substance and substantial is established to give us ground for a repeat of the election. I would also welcome any criticism on the law. 

What is your take? 

Source: Mr. Frank Gushumba : @FB page feb16.ug

A New poem I am working on for my next book

A woman’s work…

I know little about women

what they want

what they wear

and I have littleno clue about the things they talk about

and how they walk, this I know

I have not yet seen another beautiful thing on God’s wide earth

that undulateswiggles her hips like that

well some women are presidents

some are queens

some play sports

some write poems and novels

well I know little about women

weather be a president or queen

I know little about women

and their jobs

women

birth

babies

breast feeding

Jeremykimbugwejjemba 

The debate is the things, a poem by Justice James Ogoola

Justice James Ogoola's poem, The debate is the thing, at the presidential debate

The debate is the thing.

Candidates decked in their rainbow of colours

Speaking the speech of rhetoric

Dissecting the discourse of oratory

Displaying the skill of eloquence

Portraying the politics of persuasion

All ready to compete in the marketplace of ideas.

The debate is the thing.

Electors tuned on the ear

Intent to listen,

Viewers with a sharp hawk’s eye

Keenly scouring the screen

To judge the agile from the docile,

To assess the adept from the inept,

To choose the winner

From the losers

All sitting in Solomon’s chair

To do the above.

The debate is the thing.

Here

No cheap drama of the political rally,

Here

No base speech of the idle and the vulgar,

No shrill voice and tone of demagoguery

No mundane politics

Of the empty pledge or hollow promise.

Here only the nobler ideas and ideals of the mind

Take pride or place

To titillate the political soul of the electorate,

On the campaign trail

Candidates stand on the shifting sands of populism,

At the debate

The candidates stand on the solid platform of fundamental ideals

And critical ideas.

With firm figures and facts to wow the audience

With wit and humour to charm the electorate,

The debate soothes the politics of rancour

Binds the wounds of the mundane

Truly the debate is the thing.

The case against term limits in Uganda

He had just ousted the regime of Gen Tito Okello Lutwa after a five-year liberation struggle that had also seen his National Resistance Army rebels fight Dr Apollo Milton Obote’s (1980-85).
On that day, President Museveni delivered his now memorable line to a very euphoric nation: “No one should think that what is happening today is a mere change of guard; it is a fundamental change in the politics of our country.”

He went on and promised to run a frugal and responsible government and told the country: “We want our people to be able to afford shoes. The honourable excellency who is going to the United Nations in executive jets, but has a population at home of 90 per cent walking barefoot, is nothing but a pathetic spectacle. 

Yet this excellency may be busy trying to compete with [then US president Ronald] Reagan and [then USSR president Mikhail] Gorbachev to show them that he, too, is an excellency.”
On top of this speech which won him hearts both home and away, he even promised to rule for only four years.

Thirty years later, his name is inked in history books as one of the longest serving non-traditional leaders of the world in the eighth position.

The metamorphosis
After capturing power in 1986, the Legal Notice Number One was established as a basis of legality for the new NRA government as elections were prepared. It also vested legislative powers in the then National Resistance Council –NRC-[interim Parliament] and the President.

In 1989, the NRC was expanded from 98 appointed members to 278 elected representatives (68 of which were still nominated by the President) through the first national election since 1980 and transformed into the Constituent Assembly.

Several accounts have put it that President Museveni started to change colours when he asked for another five years to lay a foundation for the drafting and implementation of a new Constitution.

Former Supreme Court judge George Kanyeihamba, and who was minister of Justice at the time, writing in his weekly column in this newspaper two weeks ago said: “At the time, I believed the policy of extension was genuinely executed and our extension team, which I led as minister responsible, worked out a detailed programme which was to be adopted and implemented for the next five years in the realisation of the peoples’ expectations and wishes.”

The new Constitution was drawn and promulgated in September 1995 with a specific article 105(2) setting two terms for the incoming president. President Museveni sought an elective term which he indicated would be his last and won with 74 per cent.

Before that term would end, he launched a bid for another one. In 2000, while campaigning for the referendum to retain the Movement system, he then likened himself to the chameleon. At least 90 per cent of the 50 per cent voter turnout voted in favour of the Movement system in June that year.

The chameleon manifests
At the Wakiso rally, Museveni was quoted to have said the reason why leaders like UPC’s Milton Obote lost power twice through coup d’états was because they failed to read the situation properly, thereby failing to change accordingly.

A year later, he got a serious political challenger in his former personal physician during the Bush War, Dr Kizza Besigye, who two years earlier had authored a document criticising the NRM of derailing from the principles that in the first place had inspired them to go to the bush.

Amid Besigye’s mounting popularity, Museveni threw in a solemn political promise that this was the last term he was running and would retire thereafter; this is repeated 21 times in the NRM manifesto.

“I am once again offering myself to serve the people of Uganda because of my conviction. I am taking on the challenge of contesting for a last presidential term for the following reasons.”

He polled 69 per cent in the elections while Dr Besigye came second with 27 per cent, results which he challenged in the Supreme Court citing electoral malpractices. The court condemned the electoral process, but declined to overturn the results.

Until we solve our political differences; Uganda will always be caught between a stone and hard rock 

The case for term limits in Uganda

“A wise politician should be like a chameleon to change colour when necessary. When I am at Wakiso I have no problem, I can be like a dove. But when facing my enemies and murderers, I turn into a lion,” Museveni said.

That was 15 years ago, and that metaphorical reference has played out in reality in the Museveni’s approach to statecraft and political management of Uganda and beyond since then. 

When he wanted more years than was permitted under the 1995 Constitution, he engineered the lifting of the presidential term limits to contradict his 1986 position, on assuming office, that Africa’s problem was not the people but “leaders who overstay in power”. 

Now making three decades on Tuesday, Mr Museveni is Africa’s fifth longest-serving president.

He has revised his inaugural January 29, 1986, narrative to justify his changed position by arguing that what he castigated at the time was “leaders who overstay in power without election”.

The President’s changing positions has prompted critics to suggest a possible shadow boxing between the ‘old’ and the ‘new’ Museveni if the two versions, which they say contrast, met.

The ruling NRM party chairman and presidential flag bearer a fortnight ago told journalists at a press conference in Ntungamo District that he cannot leave power now, especially when all that he planted is starting to bear “fruits”.

“We can’t be in the middle of a forest and want the old man to go. This is not right. We must concentrate on development, my time will come and I will go. I don’t fear going because I have where to go, but we must first see where we go,” he said.

And true, talk of where to “go”, throughout his campaign trail for a fifth elective term in office, Mr Museveni has been promising that the next term, running up to 2021, is to steer the country where it should be. 
“After the liberation struggle, recovery phase and building foundation, Uganda is ready for take-off. NRM will stick to prioritisation in development planning to address Uganda’s challenges,” he says.

Indeed, the one thing he cannot be accused of having failed to do is provide grand plans and visions for Uganda, a habit that dates way back to when he was still a guerrilla fighter.

His recent proclamation came on the heels of another he made last November in Arua District, again at a press briefing, that he is willing to hand over in case he lost power.

“I have got my job; I am a cattle keeper. I am not power hungry, but mission hungry. So I have got a mission of economic transformation of Ugandans,” Mr Museveni said.

‘New breed leader’
On Wednesday, January 26, 1986, President Museveni stood on the front porch of the Parliamentary Building before a rudimentary desk and took the oath as the 9th president of Uganda.

Wonderful woman

Wonderful woman 

I Think of You As The Wonderful Woman You Are. 

You Are The Perfect Woman In My Opinion.  

Tender And Passionate, Dear And Special Lover. I´m Honored For Being Your Biggest Admirer. I Feel Proud Of Being With You, That´s For Sure.

I Also Have My Secret And This Revelation I Only Tell You, You Who Is The Most Amazing Woman I Ever Knew. 

I Want You And I Have You, So I Deem Myself The Happiest Man In The World. 

Keep This Secret In Your Memory, So No One Else Can Have Access To It. 

Do Not Forget The Fact That Your Biggest Appointment Is With Me.

 I Want To Continue To Be The First Name In The Schedule Of Your Heart. 

Congratulations To You, my dear love,  You Better Know That You Are The Most Loved One Of Your Kind…

Jeremykimbugwejjemba

Pigs

The animal’s cost of management is affordable boosted by its’ quick maturity ability. According to Hellen Nantaba a farmer in Buikwe district, she spends about UGX140, 000 to raise a porker in four months. At four months, the porker can weigh between 60-65kilos. Retailing at about UGX7000 per kilo I get over UGX400,000 from one porker in a spun of 4months a fact that renders my venture very lucrative. In the market, pork retails depending on the location, value addition, and demand. On average a kilo retails between UGX 8000 to 30000.